Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
44.1% ( 0) | 29.16% ( 0) | 26.74% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 41.82% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.72% ( -0.01) | 64.28% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.61% ( -0) | 83.38% ( 0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0) | 29.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.94% ( -0) | 65.05% ( 0) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.01% ( -0.01) | 40.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.45% ( -0.01) | 77.54% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 14.72% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.46% Total : 44.09% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.93% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.26% Total : 26.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |