Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
| 44.1% ( | 29.16% ( | 26.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.72% ( | 64.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.61% ( | 83.38% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( | 29.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( | 65.05% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.01% ( | 40.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.45% ( | 77.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 14.72% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.46% Total : 44.09% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.93% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.26% Total : 26.73% |