| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 11 | Ross County | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Livingston | 5 | -5 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 35.35% ( | 29.52% ( | 35.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.45% ( | 63.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.14% ( | 82.86% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( | 34.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( | 70.69% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( | 34.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( | 70.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.13% |