Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.