Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
40.49% ( -0.13) | 29.37% ( -0.06) | 30.14% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 42.93% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.26% ( 0.24) | 63.74% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17% ( 0.17) | 83% ( -0.17) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 0.05) | 30.89% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.05) | 67.18% ( -0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% ( 0.28) | 37.88% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% ( 0.28) | 74.65% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |