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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock


Fraser (52'), Dunne (57'), Gogic (75')
FT

Wright (56'), Armstrong (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 4-0 St Mirren
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Kilmarnock

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, both sides will view this as an opportunity to take three points to strengthen their league position. This time round, St Mirren will make the most of their opportunities and claim another victory at the SMISA Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
40.49% (-0.131 -0.13) 29.37% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 30.14% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 42.93% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (0.24 0.24)63.74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (0.172 0.17)83% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.045999999999992 0.05)30.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (0.052 0.05)67.18% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (0.283 0.28)37.88% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.276 0.28)74.65% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.48%
    Kilmarnock 30.14%
    Draw 29.36%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.48%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 30.14%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Lafferty (8', 62'), Kiltie (81')
Lafferty (34'), Power (61')
McGrath (63'), MacPherson (78'), Quaner (83')
Finlayson (38')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Whitehall (12')
Mulumbu (23'), McGowan (89'), Rogers (90+1')
Rogers (90' og.)
McAllister (71'), Doyle-Hayes (90+3')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Foley (43'), Fraser (56'), Morias (83'), Sheron (84'), McCarthy (87')
Kabamba (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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