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Scottish Premiership

St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: Rangers 4-0 St Mirren
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
40.49% (-0.131 -0.13)29.37% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)30.14% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 42.93% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (0.24 0.24)63.74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (0.172 0.17)83% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.045999999999992 0.05)30.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (0.052 0.05)67.18% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (0.283 0.28)37.88% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.276 0.28)74.65% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.48%
    Kilmarnock 30.14%
    Draw 29.36%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.48%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 30.14%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Lafferty (8', 62'), Kiltie (81')
Lafferty (34'), Power (61')
McGrath (63'), MacPherson (78'), Quaner (83')
Finlayson (38')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
 St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
2-0
Kilmarnock
McAllister (38'), Obika (61')
Doyle-Hayes (85')

Tshibola (45'), Whitehall (65'), Haunstrup (66'), Burke (74')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Whitehall (12')
Mulumbu (23'), McGowan (89'), Rogers (90+1')
Rogers (90' og.)
McAllister (71'), Doyle-Hayes (90+3')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Foley (43'), Fraser (56'), Morias (83'), Sheron (84'), McCarthy (87')
Kabamba (28')