Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.