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Scottish Premiership

St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock logo

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Taylor (4' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 St Johnstone
Friday, October 21 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
30.31% (-0.073 -0.07)29.42% (-0.032 -0.03)40.27% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 42.86% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.15% (0.078000000000003 0.08)63.85% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.92% (0.055 0.05)83.08% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (-0.012 -0.01)37.81% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)74.58% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.10000000000001 0.1)31.08% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.117 0.12)67.4% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 30.3%
    Kilmarnock 40.27%
    Draw 29.41%
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 30.3%
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.41%
0-1 @ 13.73%
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.27%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

St Johnstone
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Kilmarnock
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
2-1
St Johnstone
Armstrong (11', 46')
Bair (90+1')
Gordon (34')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-3
St Johnstone
Burke (5'), Tshibola (32')
Power (76')
Melamed (53'), Davidson (69'), McCann (73')
McCart (80')
> Match Report
Nov 6, 2020 7.45pm
St Johnstone
1-0
Kilmarnock
McNamara (70')
Gordon (59'), Davidson (65')

Power (69')
Aug 15, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
St Johnstone
Tshibola (61')
Power (55')
Millen (63')
Wotherspoon (85'), O'Halloran (90+4')
Rooney (33'), Craig (90+3')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
McCann (7'), Wotherspoon (83')
Wotherspoon (24'), Hendry (89')
Burke (22' pen.)
Del Fabro (79'), Findlay (89'), Kiltie (92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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