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Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Ross County

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Ross County

Armstrong (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Ross County

All competitions
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
55.13% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)24.5% (0.032999999999998 0.03)20.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.77% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (-0.101 -0.1)53.27% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)74.82% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)19.24% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (-0.102 -0.1)50.95% (0.1 0.1)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)40.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.029 -0.03)77.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 55.12%
    Ross County 20.36%
    Draw 24.5%
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Ross County
1-0
Kilmarnock
Edwards (86')
Callachan (38'), Baldwin (62'), Cancola (78'), Johnson (90+4')
Callachan (81')

Lafferty (41'), Shaw (61'), Sotona (82'), Donnelly (88')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-2
Ross County
Burke (3'), Pinnock (16')
McKenzie (30'), Lafferty (70'), Power (85')
Gardyne (5'), Iacovitti (54')
Tillson (15'), Naismith (30'), Vigurs (61')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Ross County
3-2
Kilmarnock
Mckay (38', 49'), Hjelde (47')
Tillson (63'), Lakin (69')
Lafferty (18', 77')
Millen (27'), Lafferty (33')
Millen (90+4')
> Match Report
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
3-1
Ross County
Brophy (14'), Kabamba (68' pen.), Burke (90+3')
McKenzie (90+1')
Findlay (8')
Grivosti (42')
Aug 12, 2020 7.45pm
Ross County
2-2
Kilmarnock
Draper (15'), Stewart (79' pen.)
Donaldson (34'), Vigurs (56'), Draper (67')
Power (59'), Burke (66')
Power (77'), Broadfoot (79')