Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.