Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.