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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle
Ross County

Hearts
6 - 1
Ross County

Cochrane (17'), Ginnelly (22', 57'), Shankland (28', 45+7' pen., 59')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Edwards (85' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRoss County
44.29% (0.065000000000005 0.07)24.75% (-0.5 -0.5)30.96% (0.431 0.43)
Both teams to score 57.04% (1.897 1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (2.376 2.38)45.9% (-2.378 -2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (2.213 2.21)68.21% (-2.214 -2.21)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (1.026 1.03)20.79% (-1.027 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (1.586 1.59)53.45% (-1.589 -1.59)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (1.477 1.48)27.98% (-1.479 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (1.844 1.84)63.62% (-1.847 -1.85)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 44.29%
    Ross County 30.96%
    Draw 24.74%
HeartsDrawRoss County
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.648 -0.65)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.224 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.257 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.609 -0.61)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.445 -0.45)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.205 0.21)
0-3 @ 2% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Hearts vs Ross County

Hearts
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Ross County
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 13
Ross County
1-2
Hearts
White (11')
Cancola (22')
Shankland (15'), Halliday (20')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 1
Hearts
2-1
Ross County
Forrest (59'), McKay (77')
Grant (80')
White (79')
Baldwin (52'), Purrington (67')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Ross County

Callachan (15'), Tillson (59'), Watson (67'), Spittal (75')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Ross County
1-1
Hearts
Iacovitti (31')
Callachan (59'), Tillson (68'), Samuel (82')
McKay (39')
Halliday (88')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
gameweek 20
Hearts
2-1
Ross County
Smith (4'), Woodburn (42')
Halliday (87')
White (72')
Baldwin (44'), Clarke (70'), Spittal (75')