Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.