Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.