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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Dundee United

Hearts
3 - 1
Dundee Utd

Shankland (71'), Cochrane (77'), Humphrys (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Rangers
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee United
52.87% (-0.187 -0.19)22.48% (0.11 0.11)24.65% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97% (-0.433 -0.43)40.03% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (-0.448 -0.45)62.39% (0.45 0.45)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)15.21% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.407 -0.41)43.85% (0.409 0.41)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (-0.173 -0.17)29.5% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (-0.21 -0.21)65.52% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 52.87%
    Dundee United 24.65%
    Draw 22.48%
HeartsDrawDundee United
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.87%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Hearts
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Dundee United
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 24, 2022 2pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Fletcher (20'), Levitt (47')
McMann (45')
Smith (41'), Shankland (90+4' pen.)
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Hearts
4-1
Dundee Utd
Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')
Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-3
Hearts
Levitt (4'), Edwards (65')
Mochrie (68'), Graham (89')
Boyce (44'), Ginnelly (59'), Simms (83')
Boyce (3'), Moore (45+1'), Haring (90+1'), Woodburn (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Smith (46'), Clark (57' pen.)
Butcher (32'), McDonald (54'), Graham (82'), McNulty (85')
Boyce (1'), Halkett (81')
Halkett (23'), Simms (39'), Ginnelly (65')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hearts
5-2
Dundee Utd
Woodburn (22', 50'), Cochrane (25'), Kingsley (76'), McEneff (86')
Edwards (34'), Clark (62')
Siegrist (26'), Fuchs (75'), Edwards (80')