Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
52.87% ( -0.19) | 22.48% ( 0.11) | 24.65% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.97% ( -0.43) | 40.03% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( -0.45) | 62.39% ( 0.45) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% ( -0.21) | 15.21% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% ( -0.41) | 43.85% ( 0.41) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% ( -0.17) | 29.5% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( -0.21) | 65.52% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.87% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |