Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
40.01% ( -0.23) | 28.92% ( 0.07) | 31.07% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 44.41% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.93% ( -0.2) | 62.07% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.21% ( -0.15) | 81.79% ( 0.15) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( -0.24) | 30.34% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% ( -0.29) | 66.53% ( 0.29) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.75% ( 0.01) | 36.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.96% ( 0.01) | 73.04% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.39% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |