Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
30.32% ( -0.01) | 26.79% ( -0) | 42.89% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% ( 0) | 54.67% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24% ( 0) | 76% ( -0) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0) | 32.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.54% ( -0) | 69.45% ( 0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% ( 0) | 25.25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% ( 0) | 60% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |