Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 56.76% ( | 24.26% ( | 18.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( | 54.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( | 75.47% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( | 18.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( | 50.4% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.16% ( | 42.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.84% ( | 79.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.97% |