Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee United |
72.79% ( -0.06) | 16.59% ( 0.09) | 10.61% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.9% ( -0.58) | 38.09% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.63% ( -0.62) | 60.36% ( 0.62) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% ( -0.16) | 9.11% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.07% ( -0.39) | 30.93% ( 0.38) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.01% ( -0.46) | 44.98% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.08% ( -0.37) | 80.92% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee United |
2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.08% Total : 72.78% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.59% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |