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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 6pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Dundee United

Aberdeen
1 - 0
Dundee Utd

Miovski (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Aberdeen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawDundee United
72.79% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)16.59% (0.094999999999999 0.09)10.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.508 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.9% (-0.584 -0.58)38.09% (0.577 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.63% (-0.623 -0.62)60.36% (0.616 0.62)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (-0.164 -0.16)9.11% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07% (-0.387 -0.39)30.93% (0.38 0.38)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01% (-0.462 -0.46)44.98% (0.455 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.373 -0.37)80.92% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 72.78%
    Dundee United 10.61%
    Draw 16.59%
AberdeenDrawDundee United
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.198 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 72.78%
1-1 @ 7.84% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 16.59%
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.05 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd

Aberdeen
51.9%
Draw
11.1%
Dundee United
37.0%
27
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Dundee Utd
4-0
Aberdeen
Behich (41'), Watt (45'), McGrath (73' pen.), McCrorie (82' og.)
McGrath (30')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
1-1
Dundee Utd
Edwards (16' og.)
Bates (3'), Barron (87')
McNulty (4' pen.)
Mulgrew (79'), Smith (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
1-0
Aberdeen
Harkes (80')
Freeman (4')
Butcher (42')

Ojo (40'), Hedges (40')
Ojo (45')
Aug 1, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
2-0
Dundee Utd
Hayes (27'), Ramirez (51')
Ferguson (59')

Edwards (19'), Butcher (37'), McNeil (58')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
Aberdeen
0-3
Dundee Utd

Ferguson (51'), Considine (61')
McNulty (18', 54'), Edwards (37')
Butcher (40'), McNulty (59'), Harkes (80'), Smith (90+2')