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Scottish Premiership

Livingston logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Livingston
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Fitzwater (6'), Kelly (17' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lopes (58' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-3 Livingston
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Hibernian
Friday, November 4 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
36.07% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.21% (0.056000000000001 0.06)36.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.217 -0.22)55.21% (0.221 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55% (-0.18 -0.18)76.44% (0.182 0.18)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)29.31% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.19 -0.19)65.28% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)28.92% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.116 -0.12)64.8% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 36.07%
    Aberdeen 36.71%
    Draw 27.2%
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.07%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 10.51% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.71%

How you voted: Livingston vs Aberdeen

Livingston
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Aberdeen
66.7%
36
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
5-0
Livingston
Miovski (41' pen., 63'), McCrorie (58'), Besuijen (62' pen.), Duncan (87')

Holt (37'), Cancar (61'), Montano (65'), Brandon (88')
Fitzwater (40')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
1-2
Livingston
Ferguson (90' pen.)
Hayes (28'), Ojo (35'), Besuijen (39'), McCrorie (52')
McCrorie (78')
Devlin (41'), Holt (70' pen.)
Stryjek (39'), Obileye (89')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-1
Aberdeen
Obileye (8'), Forrest (49')
Montano (23'), Fitzwater (38'), Omeonga (41'), Lewis (45+1'), Forrest (68'), Pittman (71'), Stryjek (73'), Holt (90')
Montano (82')
Ramirez (66')
Hayes (71'), Besuijen (82'), Ojo (87'), MacKenzie (90+1')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Aberdeen
2-0
Livingston
Hedges (23'), Bates (75')

Longridge (47')
Longridge (61')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Livingston
1-2
Aberdeen
Anderson (35')
Sibbald (26'), Penrice (52'), Devlin (80'), Longridge (86'), Pittman (90+2')
Jenks (47'), MacKenzie (90+4')