Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.