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Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Tannadice Park
Hearts logo

Dundee Utd
2 - 2
Hearts

Fletcher (20'), Levitt (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (41'), Shankland (90+4' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee United and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, November 12 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawHearts
33.47% (0.623 0.62)26.12% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.4% (-0.595 -0.59)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.276 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.275 0.27)51.05% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.241 0.24)72.9% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.54000000000001 0.54)28.89% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.664 0.66)64.76% (-0.666 -0.67)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.185 -0.19)24.9% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.259 -0.26)59.52% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 33.48%
    Hearts 40.4%
    Draw 26.11%
Dundee UnitedDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Dundee Utd vs Hearts

Dundee United
25.0%
Draw
19.4%
Hearts
55.6%
36
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Hearts
4-1
Dundee Utd
Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')
Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-3
Hearts
Levitt (4'), Edwards (65')
Mochrie (68'), Graham (89')
Boyce (44'), Ginnelly (59'), Simms (83')
Boyce (3'), Moore (45+1'), Haring (90+1'), Woodburn (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Smith (46'), Clark (57' pen.)
Butcher (32'), McDonald (54'), Graham (82'), McNulty (85')
Boyce (1'), Halkett (81')
Halkett (23'), Simms (39'), Ginnelly (65')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hearts
5-2
Dundee Utd
Woodburn (22', 50'), Cochrane (25'), Kingsley (76'), McEneff (86')
Edwards (34'), Clark (62')
Siegrist (26'), Fuchs (75'), Edwards (80')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
0-2
Hearts

Levitt (39'), Robson (44')
Boyce (45+1'), Gnanduillet (90')
Halliday (55'), Baningime (83')