Conference League
Nov 3, 2022 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye 4' goal
  • Serdar Gurler 33' goal
  • Berkay Ozcan 64' goal
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 90'

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Istanbul

Hearts

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 8.00pm
Hearts 2 - 1 RFS

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result

Istanbul Basaksehir 54.95% (+0.23)
Draw 25.35% (-0.08)
Hearts 19.7% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.51% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.91% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 57.09% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.03% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 77.97% (-0.09)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5 79.19% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 20.81% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 46.52% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 53.48% (-0.21)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 56.2% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 43.79% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 20.04% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 79.95% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 54.93%
Draw 25.35%
Hearts 19.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 14.3%
2-0 @ 11.22% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.88% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.85% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.35%
Hearts
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.7%

Head to Head

Conference League
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • goal Hasan Ali Kaldirim 26'
  • goal Youssouf Ndayishimiye 67'
  • goal Stephen Kingsley 75' (OG)
  • goal Berkay Ozcan 82'