Conference League
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luka Jovic 26' goal
  • Luka Jovic 62' goal
  • goal Danijel Aleksic 15'

Fiorentina vs Istanbul Basaksehir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
Fiorentina 5 - 1 Hearts

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
Istanbul 3 - 0 RFS

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result

Fiorentina 49.13% (-0.03)
Draw 25.44% (+0.01)
Istanbul Basaksehir 25.43% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.87% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.12% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.15% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.84% (-0.01)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 78.76% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.23% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.86% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.13% (+0.01)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5 64.62% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.37% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.86% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 72.13% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 49.12%
Draw 25.44%
Istanbul Basaksehir 25.43%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 49.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.44%
Istanbul Basaksehir
0-1 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.43%

Head to Head

Conference League
Sep 15, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT BaÅŸakÅŸehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Serdar Gurler 57' goal
  • Serdar Gurler 71' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 90' goal