Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.