Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 6pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Istanbul Basaksehir

Fenerbahce
1 - 0
Istanbul

Rossi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-3 Fenerbahce
Monday, October 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Istanbulspor
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
50.15% (-1.239 -1.24)25.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05)24.43% (1.192 1.19)
Both teams to score 50.04% (1.108 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21% (0.827 0.83)52.79% (-0.825 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (0.702 0.7)74.41% (-0.699 -0.7)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-0.187 -0.19)21.06% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (-0.294 -0.29)53.87% (0.296 0.3)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (1.554 1.55)36.6% (-1.55 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (1.528 1.53)73.39% (-1.525 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 50.15%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 24.43%
    Draw 25.41%
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.43%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbul

Fenerbahce
75.0%
Draw
15.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 4pm
Fenerbahce
0-1
Istanbul

Crespo (24'), Ozer (38'), Berisha (72')
Ozcan (61')
Turuc (39'), Cigerci (51'), Duarte (69'), Ozcan (75')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Istanbul
2-0
Fenerbahce
Okaka (16'), Gulbrandsen (90')

Gustavo (83')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Ali Sahiner (18'), Szalai (40'), Pelkas (57')
Hakan Yandas (19'), Tekdemir (29'), Ndayishimiye (38'), Valencia (60'), Kadioglu (90+3')
Tekdemir (60')
Dec 23, 2020 4pm
Fenerbahce
4-1
Istanbul
Sangare (45+2'), Tisserand (60'), Gustavo (84'), Hakan Yandas (89')
Gustavo (12'), Erkin (50')
Tekdemir (6')
Tekdemir (60'), Da Silva (69'), Kahveci (73')
Da Silva (69'), Kahveci (73')
Jan 25, 2020 5pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Istanbul
Kruse (72'), Muriqi (86')

Kahveci (65')