Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
AEK Larnaca	Draw	Fenerbahce
22.72% ( 0.04)	26.27% ( 0.01)	51% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.84% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.62% (

0.01)

57.38% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.8% (

78.2% (

-0)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.22% (

0.04)

40.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.64% (

0.04)

77.36% (

-0.04)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

-0.02)

22.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79% (

-0.03)

56.21% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

AEK Larnaca 22.73%

Fenerbahce 50.99%

Draw 26.27%

AEK Larnaca	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 22.73%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 13.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.99%