Europa League
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ivan Trichkovski 52' goal
  • goal Joao Pedro 16'
  • goal Michy Batshuayi 80'

AEK Larnaca vs Fenerbahce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
Fenerbahce 2 - 0 Larnaca

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
Fenerbahce 2 - 0 Larnaca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result

AEK Larnaca 22.72% (+0.05)
Draw 26.27% (+0.01)
Fenerbahce 51% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.84% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.62% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 57.38% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.8% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.2% (-0.01)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5 59.22% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 40.78% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 22.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.36% (-0.04)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5 77.4% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.6% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.79% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.21% (+0.03)

Score analysis

AEK Larnaca 22.73%
Draw 26.27%
Fenerbahce 50.99%
AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 8.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 22.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.27%
Fenerbahce
0-1 @ 13.7% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 10.19% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.99%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michy Batshuayi 26' goal
  • Rafael Mamas 80' goal