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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 4
Karagumruk

Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Crespo (55')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Borini (16', 66' pen.), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
Dursun (27'), Shukurov (58'), Nicholas (71'), Borini (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Istanbulspor
Monday, October 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Fenerbahce have won their last five home competitive games, and we think that they will sweep aside Fatih Karagumruk to extend their unbeaten run to seven matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 8.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
76.99% (-0.373 -0.37) 14.89% (0.229 0.23) 8.12% (0.1411 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.59% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)38.23% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (-0.645 -0.65)60.51% (0.642 0.64)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.81% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)8.19% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.31% (-0.559 -0.56)28.69% (0.557 0.56)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.65% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)50.35% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.054 -0.05)84.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 76.96%
    Fatih Karagumruk 8.12%
    Draw 14.89%
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.31% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.74% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 76.96%
1-1 @ 7.08% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 14.89%
0-1 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 8.12%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Karagumruk

Fenerbahce
86.4%
Draw
13.6%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
22
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Oct 3, 2020 5pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Karagumruk
Samatta (24', 67')
Lemos (77')
Lemos (85')
Sabo (77' pen.)
Salibur (54'), Durmaz (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor157532415926
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK147342720724
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul146442418622
8KonyasporKonyaspor155461722-519
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor146171521-619
10GaziantepGaziantep145362021-118
11SivassporSivasspor155372025-518
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
14KasimpasaKasimpasa143741821-316
15KayserisporKayserispor143651525-1015
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor143561218-614
17Bodrumspor143291021-1111
18Hatayspor141581223-118
19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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