Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 4
Karagumruk

Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Borini (16', 66' pen.), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-0 Larnaca
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Istanbulspor
Monday, October 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 8.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
76.99% (-0.373 -0.37)14.89% (0.229 0.23)8.12% (0.1411 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.59% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)38.23% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (-0.645 -0.65)60.51% (0.642 0.64)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.81% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)8.19% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.31% (-0.559 -0.56)28.69% (0.557 0.56)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.65% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)50.35% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.054 -0.05)84.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 76.96%
    Fatih Karagumruk 8.12%
    Draw 14.89%
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.31% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.74% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 76.96%
1-1 @ 7.08% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 14.89%
0-1 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 8.12%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Karagumruk

Fenerbahce
86.4%
Draw
13.6%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
22
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
Fenerbahce
0-0
Karagumruk

Kahveci (61'), Sangare (71'), Tisserand (84'), Osayi-Samuel (89')

Bekaroglu (14'), Borini (85')
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Borini (67')
Campi (90')
Thiam (19'), Valencia (53')
Erkin (42')
Oct 3, 2020 5pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Karagumruk
Samatta (24', 67')
Lemos (77')
Lemos (85')
Sabo (77' pen.)
Salibur (54'), Durmaz (90+4')