Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.