Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 5.15pm UK

Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
4 - 1
Ankaragucu

Dursun (2'), Borini (9', 48'), Diagne (83' pen.)
Musa (90+2'), Shukurov (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baniya (53' og.)
Pepe (45+6'), Ceylan (61'), Osmanoglu (82')

Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Ankaragucu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

Last Six:

Last Game: Besiktas 4-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hatayspor	2	-2	0
17	Fatih Karagumruk	2	-5	0
18	Istanbulspor	3	-7	0

Ankaragucu

Last Six:

Last Game: Gaziantep 1-0 Ankaragucu
Sunday, August 14 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Sivasspor	3	-3	2
14	Ankaragucu	2	-1	1
15	Umraniyespor	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Ankaragucu
47.05% ( -0.04)	24.81% ( 0.01)	28.14% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.33% (

-0.04)

47.67% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.13% (

-0.04)

69.87% (

0.04)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

-0.03)

20.31% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.31% (

-0.06)

52.69% (

0.05)

Ankaragucu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

-0)

30.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.86% (

-0)

67.14%

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 47.05%

Ankaragucu 28.14%

Draw 24.8%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Ankaragucu
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.05%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.14%