Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.