Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	AEK Larnaca
56.35% ( -0.27)	24.93% ( 0.04)	18.71% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 44.14% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

0.13)

56.77% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

0.1)

77.71% (

-0.1)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88% (

-0.05)

20.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62% (

-0.09)

52.38% (

0.09)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.26% (

0.35)

44.74% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.27% (

0.28)

80.73% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 56.35%

AEK Larnaca 18.71%

Draw 24.93%

Fenerbahce	Draw	AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 56.35%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.71%