Dynamo Kiev
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Dynamo Kiev
0 - 1
Larnaca

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyurcso (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dynamo Kiev and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Lviv
Sunday, September 11 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-2 Rennes
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawAEK Larnaca
41.49% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)32.75% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)49.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)71.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (-0.012 -0.01)57.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.69% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)64.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 41.49%
    AEK Larnaca 32.75%
    Draw 25.75%
Dynamo KievDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.75%

How you voted: Dynamo Kiev vs Larnaca

Dynamo Kiev
73.9%
Draw
19.6%
AEK Larnaca
6.5%
46