Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Ankaragucu
1 - 2
Istanbul

Cigerci (55' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Okaka (3'), Turuc (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ankaragucu

All competitions
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-1 Sivasspor
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 0-0 Karagumruk
Sunday, September 18 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
28.96% (0.016000000000002 0.02)27.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.21% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.5% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01)59.03% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.49% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)36.22% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.015999999999998 0.02)73.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)62.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 28.96%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 43.2%
    Draw 27.83%
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 28.96%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 12.81%
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 43.2%

How you voted: Ankaragucu vs Istanbul

Ankaragucu
8.3%
Draw
16.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir
75.0%
12
Head to Head
May 3, 2021 2pm
Istanbul
2-1
Ankaragucu
Aleksic (63'), Fernandes (88')
Chadli (17'), Aleksic (48'), Fernandes (90')
Paintsil (15')
Sarlija (17'), Kitsiou (43'), Lukasik (58'), Cekici (59'), Kulusic (79')
Jan 10, 2021 1pm
Ankaragucu
1-2
Istanbul
Cekici (20')
Cankaya (45'), Turan (48')
Visca (17'), Ba (56')
Kahveci (45'), Da Silva (79'), Aleksic (90+3')
Jun 19, 2020 7pm
Ankaragucu
1-2
Istanbul
Rodrigues (12' pen.)
Lukasik (40'), Faty (48'), Rodrigues (61'), Kitsiou (65')
Aleksic (59'), Visca (73')
Skrtel (10'), Aleksic (61'), Crivelli (76'), Gunok (90+1')
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Istanbul
2-1
Ankaragucu
Crivelli (10', 77')
Turan (84')
Karabulut (87')
Kitsiou (39'), Sak (66')
May 12, 2019 5pm
Istanbul
2-1
Ankaragucu
Bajic (46'), Robinho (62')
Boyd (17')
Pazdan (66')