Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Rigas Futbola Skola win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.