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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Livingston logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Livingston

Ginnelly (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelly (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-0 Hearts
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Aberdeen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawLivingston
45.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)51.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)73.57% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 45.39%
    Livingston 28.72%
    Draw 25.88%
HeartsDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Hearts vs Livingston

Hearts
92.3%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Livingston
1-0
Hearts
Montano (28')
Omeonga (23'), Holt (34'), Pittman (68'), Nouble (90+3')

Devlin (52'), Shankland (65')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Livingston
Baningime (3'), McKay (58')

Omeonga (37'), Nouble (84'), Holt (90+1'), Devlin (90+3')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Hearts
0-0
Livingston
Hearts win 4-3 on penalties

Devlin (67'), Gordon (118')

Penrice (58')
Dec 5, 2021 3pm
Livingston
0-1
Hearts

Holt (32'), Sibbald (50'), Anderson (73')
Boyce (49')
Haring (70'), Souttar (78'), Gnanduillet (90'), Devlin (90+4')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Hearts
3-0
Livingston
Smith (25'), Boyce (33' pen.), Cochrane (64')

Shinnie (49'), Omeonga (76'), Fitzwater (78')