NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 2-2 Carrick
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Dungannon
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Crusaders has a probability of 28.2% and a draw has a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Crusaders win is 1-0 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
28.2% (-3.921 -3.92)24.56% (-0.402 -0.4)47.24% (4.319 4.32)
Both teams to score 55.98% (-0.863 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-0.141 -0.14)46.53% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-0.134 -0.13)68.8% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (-2.745 -2.75)30.21% (2.742 2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-3.412 -3.41)66.38% (3.409 3.41)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (1.844 1.84)19.77% (-1.847 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (2.906 2.91)51.83% (-2.909 -2.91)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 28.2%
    Dungannon Swifts 47.24%
    Draw 24.56%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.523 -0.52)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.656 -0.66)
2-0 @ 4.28% (-0.679 -0.68)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.503 -0.5)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.2%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.587 0.59)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.392 0.39)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.881 0.88)
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.48 0.48)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.684 0.68)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.297 0.3)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.356 0.36)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.24%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2025 3pm
Sep 13, 2025 3pm
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
gameweek 5
Dungannon
1-0
Crusaders
McGovern (75')
Wallace (35')

King (52')
Jan 11, 2025 3pm
gameweek 25
Crusaders
1-5
Dungannon
Owens (90')
Barr (12'), Forsythe (51'), Larmour (76'), Williamson (83')
McGovern (5', 48'), Bermingham (8'), Galvin (90', 90+3')
Alves (51')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
gameweek 19
Crusaders
2-2
Dungannon
Forsythe (56' pen.), Offord (60')
Stewart (25'), Clarke (29'), Jewitt-White (80')
Galvin (15'), Curry (24')
Dillon (63'), Alves (71'), Mitchell (87'), McGinty (90+2')