NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

GlenavonGlenavon
vs.
DungannonDungannon Swifts

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Glenavon
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 1-0 Bangor
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Glenavon has a probability of 26.59% and a draw has a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Glenavon win is 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.26%).

Result
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
26.59% (0.188 0.19)25.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)47.6% (-0.219 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.78% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (0.152 0.15)34.75% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (0.159 0.16)71.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)22.17% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (-0.151 -0.15)55.57% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 26.59%
    Dungannon Swifts 47.59%
    Draw 25.8%
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.3% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.59%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.59%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2025 3pm
Dungannon
1-0
Glenavon
Sep 6, 2025 3pm
Glenavon
0-2
Dungannon
Jan 17, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Dungannon
2-3
Glenavon
McGovern (47' pen.), Mitchell (66')
Bigirimana (68'), Bigirimana (78'), Alves (80'), (90+5'), McAleese (90+4')
McDaid (27'), Malone (45', 80')
McDaid (54'), Curry (88'), Campbell (90+4')
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
gameweek 17
Dungannon
2-0
Glenavon
McKeown (14' og.), Dillon (61')

McDonnell (64')
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
gameweek 9
Glenavon
1-1
Dungannon
McKeown (76')
Carroll (41'), McDaid (59'), McKeown (80'), Atherton (82')
Glenny (13')
Glenny (6'), Dillon (90+4')
McAleese (68')
rhs 2.0


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