NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

GlenavonGlenavon
0-1
DungannonDungannon Swifts

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ogedi-Uzokwe (59')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Dungannon
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Ballymena vs. Glenavon
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Dungannon
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Crusaders vs. Dungannon
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
26.59% (0.188 0.19)25.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)47.6% (-0.219 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.78% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (0.152 0.15)34.75% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (0.159 0.16)71.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)22.17% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (-0.151 -0.15)55.57% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 26.59%
    Dungannon Swifts 47.59%
    Draw 25.8%
GlenavonDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.3% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.59%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.59%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2025 3pm
Dungannon
1-0
Glenavon
Sep 6, 2025 3pm
Glenavon
0-2
Dungannon
Jan 17, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Dungannon
2-3
Glenavon
McGovern (47' pen.), Mitchell (66')
Bigirimana (68'), Bigirimana (78'), Alves (80'), (90+5'), McAleese (90+4')
McDaid (27'), Malone (45', 80')
McDaid (54'), Curry (88'), Campbell (90+4')
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
gameweek 17
Dungannon
2-0
Glenavon
McKeown (14' og.), Dillon (61')

McDonnell (64')
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
gameweek 9
Glenavon
1-1
Dungannon
McKeown (76')
Carroll (41'), McDaid (59'), McKeown (80'), Atherton (82')
Glenny (13')
Glenny (6'), Dillon (90+4')
McAleese (68')