Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.