NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

4-0

Barr (5' og.), Fitzpatrick (21'), Morrison (50', 71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Glenavon vs. Linfield
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-0 Crusaders
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Crusaders vs. Larne
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.84% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.04%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
70.25%18.84%10.91%
Both teams to score 43.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49%47.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28%69.72%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69%12.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.9%38.1%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.42%50.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.95%85.06%
Score Analysis
    Linfield 70.25%
    Crusaders 10.91%
    Draw 18.84%
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
2-0 @ 13.66%
1-0 @ 13.04%
3-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 4.99%
4-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.22%
5-0 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 70.25%
1-1 @ 8.89%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.84%
0-1 @ 4.25%
1-2 @ 3.03%
0-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 10.91%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2025 7.45pm
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Linfield
3-1
Crusaders
McDaid (2'), Fitzpatrick (60'), Offord (71')
Boyd (78')
Forsythe (21'), Larmour (37'), Franklin (65'), Barr (82'), (86')
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Crusaders
0-2
Linfield

Tuffey (12'), O'Rourke (55'), Jewitt-White (61'), Weir (69')
Orr (72'), Fitzpatrick (85')
Archer (55'), Orr (63')
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Linfield
2-1
Crusaders
Cooper (7'), McKee (45')
Cooper (11'), Fitzpatrick (29'), Orr (50'), Archer (85')
Fitzpatrick (90+3')
Clarke (10')
Clarke (42'), Larmour (70'), Jewitt-White (76'), Forsythe (90+1')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
gameweek 12
Crusaders
2-3
Linfield
Stewart (58'), Callacher (90+4')
Callacher (26'), Franklin (61'), Stewart (72'), Fitzpatrick (79')
McClean (40', 86'), Fitzpatrick (62')
Fitzpatrick (90')