Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.65% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 14.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.