Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Samson Lawal 46' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 46' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 56' goal
  • Joshua Zimmerman 76' yellowcard
  • Alex Tamm 82' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Kabongolo 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 46'
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 63'
  • yellowcard Jake Young 63'
  • yellowcard J. Young 63'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 64'
  • yellowcard Tunmise Sobowale 79'
  • goal Alex Gogic 89'

Livingston vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
Hearts 2 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Livingston 39.46% (+0.18)
Draw 27.28% (-0.05)
St Mirren 33.28% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.56% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.79% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 26.21% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 48.81% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 51.19% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 27.04% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 72.96% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 14.34% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.66% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Livingston 31.7%
Draw 44.69%
St Mirren 23.61%

Team To Score First

Livingston 48.85% (-1.50)
No Goal 7.27% (-0.12)
St Mirren 43.88% (+1.61)

Corners

Over 8 63.87% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.75% (-0.24)
Under 8 25.38% (+0.26)
Over 9 52.36% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.27)
Under 9 36.13% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.08% (+0.48)
Under 10.5 58.92% (-0.48)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 38.67% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 61.33% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 15.61% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 84.39% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.13)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 68.39% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 31.61% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.32% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.5% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.5% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.69% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.31% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Livingston 39.47%
Draw 27.29%
St Mirren 33.28%
Livingston
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.79% (+0.14)
Total : 39.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 27.29%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.53% (-0.02)
Total : 33.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Tony Macaroni Arena
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 72' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 75'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Tete Yengi 45'+3' goal
  • David Martindale 69' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 68'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Kelly 37' (OG)