Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Tony Macaroni Arena

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Cristian Montano

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 34.6% and a draw has a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.94%).

Result

Livingston 38.48% (+38.48)
Draw 26.95% (+26.95)
St Mirren 34.6% (+34.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.05% (+54.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.5% (+73.50)
Under 1.5 26.5% (+26.50)
Over 2.5 48.51% (+48.51)
Under 2.5 51.46% (+51.46)
Over 3.5 27.03% (+27.03)
Under 3.5 72.97% (+72.97)
Over 4.5 14.39% (+14.39)
Under 4.5 85.61% (+85.61)

First Half Winner

Livingston 32.53% (+32.53)
Draw 41.85% (+41.85)
St Mirren 25.62% (+25.62)

Team To Score First

Livingston 49.07% (+49.07)
No Goal 7.43% (+7.43)
St Mirren 43.5% (+43.50)

Corners

Over 8 66.53% (+66.53)
Equal 8 10.64% (+10.64)
Under 8 22.83% (+22.83)
Over 9 54.86% (+54.86)
Equal 9 11.67% (+11.67)
Under 9 33.47% (+33.47)
Over 10.5 43.19% (+43.19)
Under 10.5 56.81% (+56.81)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 37.51% (+37.51)
Under 1.5 62.49% (+62.49)
Over 2.5 14.97% (+14.97)
Under 2.5 85.03% (+85.03)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+4.76)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+95.24)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (+69.05)
Under 0.5 30.95% (+30.95)
Over 1.5 34.42% (+34.42)
Under 1.5 65.58% (+65.58)
Over 2.5 12.94% (+12.94)
Under 2.5 87.06% (+87.06)
Over 3.5 3.95% (+3.95)
Under 3.5 96.05% (+96.05)

Score analysis

Livingston 38.47%
Draw 26.95%
St Mirren 34.6%
Livingston
1-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 4.62% (+4.62)
Total : 38.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.15)
Total : 26.95%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 3.81% (+3.81)
Total : 34.6%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 72' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 75'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Tete Yengi 45'+3' goal
  • David Martindale 69' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 68'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Kelly 37' (OG)
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'