Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.