Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
ET Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Scott Arfield 11' goal
  • Stevie May 73' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 82' yellowcard
  • Tete Yengi 83' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bokila 91' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 91' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Danso 105'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Roland Idowu 4'
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 61'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 91'
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 104'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 104'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Tunmise Sobowale 111'

Livingston vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

St Mirren

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 33.48% and a draw has a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 0-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result

Livingston 40.99% (+0.36)
Draw 25.53% (-0.24)
St Mirren 33.48% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.23% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.53% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 24.47% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 52.11% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 47.89% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 30.84% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 69.16% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 17.48% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 82.52% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Livingston 31.8% (-0.08)
Draw 43.28% (-0.09)
St Mirren 24.92% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Livingston 47.94% (-0.39)
No Goal 6.76% (-0.11)
St Mirren 45.3% (+0.48)

Corners

Over 8 65.22% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.54% (-0.08)
Under 8 24.24% (+0.03)
Over 9 53.82% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.09)
Under 9 34.78% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 42.52% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 57.48% (-0.18)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 41.05% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 58.95% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 17.92% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 82.08% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 6.2% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 93.8% (-0.14)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 68.07% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 31.93% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.1% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.9% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.15% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.85% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.4% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Livingston 41%
Draw 25.54%
St Mirren 33.48%
Livingston
1-0 @ 9.5% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 6.42% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.39% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.07% (+0.17)
Total : 41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.05)
Total : 25.54%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.47% (+0.03)
Total : 33.48%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 72' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 75'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Tete Yengi 45'+3' goal
  • David Martindale 69' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 68'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Kelly 37' (OG)
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'