Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK

Motherwell
vs.
St Mirren

Coverage of the Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, December 30 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 29.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 0-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).

Result
Motherwell	Draw	St Mirren
46.11% ( -1.63)	24.68% ( -0.03)	29.21% ( 1.66)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52% (

1.14)

46.47% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

1.06)

68.75% (

-1.07)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-0.24)

20.23% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43% (

-0.38)

52.56% (

0.37)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

1.8)

29.46% (

-1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

2.15)

65.47% (

-2.15)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 46.11%

St Mirren 29.21%

Draw 24.68%

Motherwell	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.11%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.21%