Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 3 Hibernian
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 33.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.99%).

Result

Livingston 39.91%
Draw 26.87%
Kilmarnock 33.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.67%
Under 1.5 27.33%
Over 2.5 46.96%
Under 2.5 53.04%
Over 3.5 25.4%
Under 3.5 74.6%
Over 4.5 13.53%
Under 4.5 86.47%

First Half Winner

Livingston 34.95%
Draw 42.17%
Kilmarnock 22.88%

Team To Score First

Livingston 56.4%
No Goal 7.64%
Kilmarnock 35.96%

Corners

Over 8 62.99%
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 26.46%
Over 9 51.8%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 37.01%
Over 10.5 40.9%
Under 10.5 59.1%

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 37.65%
Under 1.5 62.35%
Over 2.5 14.94%
Under 2.5 85.06%
Over 3.5 4.91%
Under 3.5 95.09%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 66.78%
Under 0.5 33.22%
Over 1.5 32.5%
Under 1.5 67.5%
Over 2.5 11.82%
Under 2.5 88.18%
Over 3.5 3.51%
Under 3.5 96.49%

Score analysis

Livingston 39.91%
Draw 26.87%
Kilmarnock 33.22%
Livingston
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 39.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 5.18%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.87%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Marley Watkins 88' goal
  • yellowcard Mo Sangare 85'
  • yellowcard Shamal George 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Michael Devlin 77' yellowcard
  • Ayo Obileye 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 16' goal
  • David Watson 38' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 42' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 50' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 60' goal
  • goal Sean Kelly 35'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 38'