Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Cristian Montano

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Hibernian
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 33.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.99%).

Result

Livingston 39.91%
Draw 26.87%
Kilmarnock 33.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.67%
Under 1.5 27.33%
Over 2.5 46.96%
Under 2.5 53.04%
Over 3.5 25.4%
Under 3.5 74.6%
Over 4.5 13.53%
Under 4.5 86.47%

First Half Winner

Livingston 34.95%
Draw 42.17%
Kilmarnock 22.88%

Team To Score First

Livingston 56.4%
No Goal 7.64%
Kilmarnock 35.96%

Corners

Over 8 62.99%
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 26.46%
Over 9 51.8%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 37.01%
Over 10.5 40.9%
Under 10.5 59.1%

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 37.65%
Under 1.5 62.35%
Over 2.5 14.94%
Under 2.5 85.06%
Over 3.5 4.91%
Under 3.5 95.09%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 66.78%
Under 0.5 33.22%
Over 1.5 32.5%
Under 1.5 67.5%
Over 2.5 11.82%
Under 2.5 88.18%
Over 3.5 3.51%
Under 3.5 96.49%

Score analysis

Livingston 39.91%
Draw 26.87%
Kilmarnock 33.22%
Livingston
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 39.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 5.18%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.87%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Marley Watkins 88' goal
  • yellowcard Mo Sangare 85'
  • yellowcard Shamal George 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Michael Devlin 77' yellowcard
  • Ayo Obileye 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 16' goal
  • David Watson 38' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 42' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 50' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 60' goal
  • goal Sean Kelly 35'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 38'