Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Reilly 48' yellowcard
  • Yan Dhanda 53' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hay 57' goal
  • Charlie Reilly 72' goal
  • goal Greg Kiltie 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 53'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 54'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 69'

Dundee vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee 0 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ashley Hay

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Dundee 40.07% (+0.06)
Draw 25.49% (+0.03)
Kilmarnock 34.44% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.74% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.87% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 48.13% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 29.71% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.29% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 14.47% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.53% (+0.08)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 76.23% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.77% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.08% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.92% (+0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 73.12% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 26.88% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 37.8% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 62.2% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Dundee 40.07%
Draw 25.49%
Kilmarnock 34.44%
Dundee
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 40.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 8.39% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.44%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 31' goal
  • Liam Donnelly 47' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 77' goal
  • Robbie Deas 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Seb Palmer-Houlden 30'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Larkeche 56'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 76'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Fraser Murray 61' yellowcard
  • Bobby Wales 80' goal
  • Robbie Deas 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 9'
  • yellowcard Billy Koumetio 38'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Nov 3, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 41' goal
  • Jordan McGhee 56' goal
  • Oluwaseun Adewumi 60' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 78' yellowcard
  • Ziyad Larkeche 90'+4' goal
  • goal Bruce Anderson 24'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 40'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Larkeche 78'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Ziyad Larkeche 24' goal
  • Mohamad Sylla 30' yellowcard
  • Simon Murray 38' yellowcard
  • Mohamad Sylla 43' redcard
  • Oluwaseun Adewumi 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 60'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 86'
  • goal Bruce Anderson 88'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 90'+4'