Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.