Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 2 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 1 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Brian Graham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Falkirk has a probability of 34.76% and a draw has a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Falkirk win is 0-1 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).

Result

St Mirren 40.28%
Draw 24.96%
Falkirk 34.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.89%
Under 1.5 24.11%
Over 2.5 52.39%
Under 2.5 47.61%
Over 3.5 30.14%
Under 3.5 69.86%
Over 4.5 16.58%
Under 4.5 83.42%

First Half Winner

St Mirren 29.72%
Draw 41.3%
Falkirk 28.98%

Team To Score First

St Mirren 46.26%
No Goal 6.42%
Falkirk 47.32%

Corners

Over 8 63.11%
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 26.08%
Over 9 51.61%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 36.89%
Over 10.5 40.41%
Under 10.5 59.59%

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 40.26%
Under 1.5 59.74%
Over 2.5 17.33%
Under 2.5 82.67%
Over 3.5 5.81%
Under 3.5 94.19%

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 69.12%
Under 0.5 30.88%
Over 1.5 35.9%
Under 1.5 64.1%
Over 2.5 14.07%
Under 2.5 85.93%
Over 3.5 4.36%
Under 3.5 95.64%

Score analysis

St Mirren 40.27%
Draw 24.97%
Falkirk 34.77%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 5.76%
Total : 40.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 24.97%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 34.77%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Championship
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Peter Grant 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Blair 85' goal
  • Ryan Blair 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 83'
Scottish Championship
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Myles Hippolyte 55' goal
  • Stelios Demetriou 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 63'
  • yellowcard Joe McKee 70'
  • goal Joe McKee 83'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 90'
Scottish Championship
Oct 21, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Myles Hippolyte 33' yellowcard
  • Cieran Dunne 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 48'
  • yellowcard Cameron Smith 90'
Scottish Championship
Aug 5, 2017 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ian McShane 22' yellowcard
  • Stelios Demetriou 33' goal
  • Gary Irvine 38' yellowcard
  • Cammy Smith 46' goal
  • Gavin Reilly 69' goal
  • goal Nathan Austin 2'
  • yellowcard Mark Kerr 39'
  • redcard Aaron Muirhead 77'
  • yellowcard Luca Gasparotto 80'