Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.