Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.