NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Windsor Park

Linfield vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 0 Linfield
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Chris McKee

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Ballymena 0 - 0 Portadown
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Daire O'Connor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Linfield win with a probability of 77.54%. A draw has a probability of 15.76% and a win for Ballymena United has a probability of 6.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (12.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.41%) , while for a Ballymena United win it is 0-1 (3.32%).

Result

Linfield 77.54% (+3.78)
Draw 15.76% (-1.33)
Ballymena United 6.68% (-2.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.4% (-3.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.69% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 25.31% (+0.78)
Over 2.5 51.07% (-1.01)
Under 2.5 48.93% (+1.01)
Over 3.5 27.49% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 72.51% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 19.56% (+0.54)
Under 4.5 80.44% (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Linfield 55.76% (+4.76)
Draw 34.49% (-3.11)
Ballymena United 9.76% (-1.66)

Team To Score First

Linfield 75.45% (+2.18)
No Goal 6.48% (+0.02)
Ballymena United 18.07% (-2.18)

Corners

Over 8 55.64% (-0.36)
Equal 8 11.92% (+0.32)
Under 8 32.44% (+0.05)
Over 9 43.69% (-0.66)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.28)
Under 9 44.36% (+0.36)
Over 10.5 32.74% (-0.84)
Under 10.5 67.26% (+0.85)

Linfield Goals

Over 1.5 64.04% (+1.38)
Under 1.5 35.96% (-1.37)
Over 2.5 37.67% (+1.75)
Under 2.5 62.33% (-1.75)
Over 3.5 17.61% (+1.31)
Under 3.5 82.39% (-1.32)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 32.88% (-5.20)
Under 0.5 67.12% (+5.21)
Over 1.5 7.06% (-2.93)
Under 1.5 92.94% (+2.93)
Over 2.5 0.51% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 99.49% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 0.02% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 99.98% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Linfield 77.54%
Draw 15.78%
Ballymena United 6.69%
Linfield
1-0 @ 15.52% (+1.47)
2-0 @ 15.21% (+1.10)
3-0 @ 12.32% (+1.34)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.54)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.45)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.46)
Other @ 17.6% (+1.32)
Total : 77.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.62)
0-0 @ 6.48% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.87% (-0.72)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.78%
Ballymena United
0-1 @ 3.32% (-0.69)
1-2 @ 1.91% (-0.76)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.10)
Total : 6.69%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 7, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Donal Rocks 25' goal
  • Andrew Scott 68' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 81' yellowcard
  • Caolan Loughran 90' yellowcard
  • Patrick McEleney 90'+2' goal
  • 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 12'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 90'+1'
  • goal Kyle McClean 90'+11'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Rhys Annett 78' goal
  • Rhys Annett 90' goal
  • Joel Cooper 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 54'
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 58'
  • redcard Stephen O'Donnell 68'
  • yellowcard Sean Brown 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Brown 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Stephen O'Donnell 2' yellowcard
  • Josh Carson 18' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 59' yellowcard
  • Caolan Loughran 66' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jarvis 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Shields 50'
  • goal Chris McKee 55'
  • goal Chris Shields 82'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Kyle McClean 55' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 78' goal