NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Darragh Leahy 30' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 30'+2' yellowcard
  • Matt Yates 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jamie Mulgrew 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matt Lusty 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 60'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 80'

Linfield vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
Carrick 0 - 0 Linfield
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Chris McKee

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
Glentoran 1 - 4 Larne
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Paul O'Neill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.59% and a win for Larne had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Linfield 57.29% (-1.32)
Draw 23.59% (+0.27)
Larne 19.12% (+1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.29% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.46% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 27.54% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.81% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 53.19% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 25.19% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 74.81% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 14.25% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 85.75% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Linfield 43.97% (-1.65)
Draw 38.92% (+0.74)
Larne 17.11% (+0.93)

Team To Score First

Linfield 61.3% (-1.90)
No Goal 7.53% (+0.03)
Larne 31.17% (+1.88)

Corners

Over 8 59.54% (+1.48)
Equal 8 11.19% (+0.02)
Under 8 29.26% (-1.52)
Over 9 47.98% (+1.33)
Equal 9 11.56% (+0.17)
Under 9 40.46% (-1.48)
Over 10.5 37.01% (+1.08)
Under 10.5 62.99% (-1.08)

Linfield Goals

Over 1.5 49.49% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 50.51% (+0.84)
Over 2.5 23.62% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 76.38% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 9.2% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 90.8% (+0.35)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 53.1% (+1.18)
Under 0.5 46.9% (-1.18)
Over 1.5 19.11% (+0.84)
Under 1.5 80.89% (-0.85)
Over 2.5 4.7% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 95.3% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 1.08% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.92% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Linfield 57.28%
Draw 23.61%
Larne 19.11%
Linfield
1-0 @ 13.19% (-0.33)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.27)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.19% (-0.34)
Total : 57.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.91% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.61%
Larne
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 5.17% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 2.83% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 1.46% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.07% (+0.09)
Total : 19.11%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Conor McKendry 74' yellowcard
  • Christopher Gallagher 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Fitzpatrick 89'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 12, 2025 3.00pm
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Shaun Want 41' yellowcard
  • Sean Graham 71' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 76' goal
  • Conor McKendry 87' goal
  • goal K 32'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Kieran Offord 59' goal
  • Chris Shields 80' yellowcard
  • redcard Andy Ryan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 63'
  • yellowcard A 81'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 17
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 13' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 89' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Cooper 9'
  • yellowcard Dane McCullough 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 18' yellowcard
  • Joel Cooper 80' yellowcard
  • Chris Shields 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Nolan 66'
  • goal Conor McKendry 79'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 79'