Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.