Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 46.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.72% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.