NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Seaview

Crusaders vs Cliftonville - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 5 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fraser Bryden

Cliftonville

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.45pm
Portadown 0 - 2 Cliftonville
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Joe Gormley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cliftonville win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw has a probability of 22.3% and a win for Crusaders has a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.2%) , while for a Crusaders win it is 1-0 (5.48%).

Result

Crusaders 20.51% (-2.48)
Draw 22.3% (-1.25)
Cliftonville 57.19% (+3.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.7% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.61% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 21.39% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 55.78% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 44.22% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 33.46% (+1.14)
Under 3.5 66.54% (-1.13)
Over 4.5 20.64% (+1.31)
Under 4.5 79.36% (-1.30)

First Half Winner

Crusaders 20.86% (-1.47)
Draw 37.13% (-1.12)
Cliftonville 42.02% (+2.61)

Team To Score First

Crusaders 31.3% (-2.50)
No Goal 5.73% (-0.26)
Cliftonville 62.97% (+2.76)

Corners

Over 8 59.99% (+1.20)
Equal 8 11.28% (-0.06)
Under 8 28.72% (-1.16)
Over 9 48.29% (+1.14)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.06)
Under 9 40.01% (-1.20)
Over 10.5 37.16% (+0.98)
Under 10.5 62.84% (-0.98)

Crusaders Goals

Over 1.5 24.56% (-2.27)
Under 1.5 75.44% (+2.27)
Over 2.5 8% (-1.14)
Under 2.5 92% (+1.13)
Over 3.5 2.15% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 97.85% (+0.40)

Cliftonville Goals

Over 0.5 82.61% (+1.71)
Under 0.5 17.39% (-1.72)
Over 1.5 55.06% (+3.04)
Under 1.5 44.94% (-3.04)
Over 2.5 28.74% (+2.82)
Under 2.5 71.26% (-2.82)
Over 3.5 12.69% (+1.75)
Under 3.5 87.31% (-1.75)

Score analysis

Crusaders 20.5%
Draw 22.3%
Cliftonville 57.2%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 5.48% (-0.54)
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 3.01% (-0.38)
3-1 @ 1.88% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.25)
Other @ 1.99% (-0.35)
Total : 20.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.56)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.05)
Total : 22.3%
Cliftonville
0-1 @ 10.18% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 9.62% (+0.74)
0-3 @ 5.91% (+0.65)
1-3 @ 5.85% (+0.40)
2-3 @ 3.17% (+0.11)
Other @ 12.53% (+1.80)
Total : 57.2%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Solitude
  • Brian Healy 4' goal
  • Luke Conlan 9' goal
  • Micheál Glynn 48' goal
  • Liam McStravick 63' yellowcard
  • Ryan Curran 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Gormley 71' yellowcard
  • Harry Wilson 78' goal
  • Joshua Kelly 90'+5' goal
  • goal Adam Brooks 42'
  • goal Scot Rough 58'
  • yellowcard Kieran McKechnie 69'
  • yellowcard Cameron Bruce 69'
  • yellowcard Kurtis Forsythe 69'
  • yellowcard Stewart Nixon 69'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Keaney 61' yellowcard
  • Conor Pepper 82' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lavery 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Odhran Casey 90'+5' goal
  • goal Ryan Curran 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard F. Bryden 65'
  • yellowcard Fraser Bryden 65'
  • goal Adam Brooks 87'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Harry Jewitt-White 1' yellowcard
  • Kieran Offord 47' goal
  • Kieran Offord 50' goal
  • Jordan Stewart 54' yellowcard
  • Stewart Nixon 81' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Addis 24'
  • yellowcard Ronan Doherty 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Solitude
  • Joe Gormley 39' goal
  • Michael Glynn 66' yellowcard
  • Rory Donnelly 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 41'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 51'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 89'
  • yellowcard Declan Caddell 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview
  • Kieran Offord 34' goal
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 72' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Curran 32'
  • yellowcard Shaun Leppard 40'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Jordan Forsythe 18' goal
  • Stewart Nixon 66' goal
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 82' yellowcard
  • Jay Boyd 84' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Gormley 51'
  • yellowcard Luke Kenny 52'