NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Seaview

Crusaders vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 0 Linfield
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Adam Brooks

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 2 - 1 Bangor
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Paul O'Neill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw has a probability of 22.41% and a win for Crusaders has a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.44%) , while for a Crusaders win it is 1-0 (6.08%).

Result

Crusaders 21.49% (-0.09)
Draw 22.41% (-0.59)
Larne 56.1% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.14% (+0.89)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.39% (+1.27)
Under 1.5 23.61% (-1.27)
Over 2.5 52.82% (+2.08)
Under 2.5 47.18% (-2.08)
Over 3.5 30.65% (+1.64)
Under 3.5 69.35% (-1.65)
Over 4.5 17.82% (+1.25)
Under 4.5 82.18% (-1.24)

First Half Winner

Crusaders 18.89% (-0.09)
Draw 37.61% (-0.08)
Larne 43.5% (+0.16)

Team To Score First

Crusaders 31.47% (-0.07)
No Goal 6.39% (-0.49)
Larne 62.14% (+0.54)

Corners

Over 8 61.72% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.16% (-0.07)
Under 8 27.12% (+0.20)
Over 9 49.98% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.09)
Under 9 38.28% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 38.67% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 61.33% (-0.03)

Crusaders Goals

Over 1.5 23.93% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 76.07% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 8.06% (+0.51)
Under 2.5 91.94% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.11% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.89% (-0.18)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 81.25% (+0.83)
Under 0.5 18.75% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 52.32% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 47.68% (-1.47)
Over 2.5 25.96% (+1.29)
Under 2.5 74.04% (-1.29)
Over 3.5 10.27% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 89.73% (-0.79)

Score analysis

Crusaders 21.5%
Draw 22.41%
Larne 56.1%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 5.24% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 3.1% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.1% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 1.21% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.98% (+0.12)
Total : 21.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.6% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.05)
Total : 22.41%
Larne
0-1 @ 11.15% (-0.43)
0-2 @ 10.03% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 9.94% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 6.14% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 5.77% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.13)
Other @ 10.14% (+0.75)
Total : 56.1%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 38' yellowcard
  • Ross Clarke 38' yellowcard
  • 54' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Magee 11'
  • yellowcard 72'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • yellowcard 82'
NIFL Premiership
Sep 16, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • Philip Lowry 56' goal
  • Stewart Nixon 75' goal
  • Layton Stewart 90' redcard
  • goal Paul O'Neill 10'
  • goal Shaun Want 68'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 31'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview
  • Jimmy Callacher 40' yellowcard
  • Jacob Blaney 45'+1' goal
  • Lewis Barr 57' yellowcard
  • Daniel Larmour 68' yellowcard
  • Josh Williamson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Cosgrove 39'
  • yellowcard A 43'
  • goal Levi Ives 53'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 62'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 81'
  • yellowcard Rohan Ferguson 83'
  • goal Jimmy Callacher 90'+6'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Benjamin Magee 80' goal
  • yellowcard Kieran Offord 15'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 40'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 52'
  • goal Kieran Offord 55'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 71'