Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.